Nations League · Friday, 13 November 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Slovenia
VS
Switzerland
Slovenia win
18%
Draw
28%
Switzerland win
54%
Expected goals
0.8 – 1.5
Expected shots
5 – 21
Match analysis
Switzerland comes out on top in most scenarios (54% win rate), but Slovenia finds a way in 18% of simulations. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 46% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 10:55 (UK time).