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Serbia vs Germany prediction

Nations League · Friday, 13 November 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Serbia
VS
Germany
Serbia win
25%
Draw
28%
Germany win
47%
Expected goals
1.1 – 1.5
Expected shots
7 – 25

Match analysis

Germany holds a real edge (47% vs 25%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (28%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 10:54 (UK time).

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