Coupe de France · Friday, 13 November 2026 at 19:00 (UK time)
La Neuvillette
VS
Valenciennes
La Neuvillette win
44%
Draw
29%
Valenciennes win
27%
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.0
Expected shots
14 – 12
Match analysis
La Neuvillette holds a real edge (44% vs 27%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (29%) stays a live option. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 45% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 08:54 (UK time).