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Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan prediction

Nations League · Friday, 13 November 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Liechtenstein
VS
Azerbaijan
Liechtenstein win
15%
Draw
27%
Azerbaijan win
58%
Expected goals
0.7 – 1.5
Expected shots
4 – 25

Match analysis

Azerbaijan comes out on top in most scenarios (58% win rate), but Liechtenstein finds a way in 15% of simulations. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 46% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 10:54 (UK time).

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