Nations League · Friday, 13 November 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Netherlands
VS
Greece
Netherlands win
55%
Draw
26%
Greece win
19%
Expected goals
1.7 – 0.9
Expected shots
20 – 7
Match analysis
Netherlands comes out on top in most scenarios (55% win rate), but Greece finds a way in 20% of simulations. Netherlands frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 40% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 10:54 (UK time).