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Moldova vs Kazakhstan prediction

Nations League · Friday, 13 November 2026 at 17:00 (UK time)

Moldova
VS
Kazakhstan
Moldova win
38%
Draw
31%
Kazakhstan win
31%
Expected goals
1.1 – 1.0
Expected shots
18 – 18

Match analysis

Genuinely open contest: Moldova and Kazakhstan finish within a few points of each other (37% vs 31%), with the draw at 31%. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 49% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 10:54 (UK time).

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