Nations League · Friday, 13 November 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Scotland
VS
FYR Macedonia
Scotland win
71%
Draw
20%
FYR Macedonia win
9%
Expected goals
2.1 – 0.6
Expected shots
22 – 5
Match analysis
Scotland dominates this matchup: 71% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 9% for FYR Macedonia. Scotland frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 51% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 10:55 (UK time).