Conference League · Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)
Final score: SC Braga 2 – 0 Gent
The outcome rated most likely (a SC Braga win, 50%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.
SC Braga
VS
Gent
SC Braga win
50%
Draw
25%
Gent win
25%
Expected goals
1.7 – 1.1
Expected shots
17 – 9
Match analysis
SC Braga holds a real edge (50% vs 25%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (25%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 22 October at 19:12 (UK time).