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San Marino vs Belarus prediction

Nations League · Thursday, 12 November 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

San Marino
VS
Belarus
San Marino win
15%
Draw
26%
Belarus win
59%
Expected goals
0.7 – 1.6
Expected shots
5 – 17

Match analysis

Belarus comes out on top in most scenarios (59% win rate), but San Marino finds a way in 15% of simulations. Belarus frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 42% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 05:54 (UK time).

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