Nations League · Thursday, 12 November 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Czechia
VS
Spain
Czechia win
6%
Draw
12%
Spain win
82%
Expected goals
0.7 – 2.9
Expected shots
4 – 25
Match analysis
Spain dominates this matchup: 82% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 6% for Czechia. Spain frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 63% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 05:54 (UK time).