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Albania vs Finland prediction

Nations League · Thursday, 12 November 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Albania
VS
Finland
Albania win
32%
Draw
31%
Finland win
37%
Expected goals
1.0 – 1.2
Expected shots
13 – 11

Match analysis

Genuinely open contest: Albania and Finland finish within a few points of each other (31% vs 37%), with the draw at 31%. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 48% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 05:54 (UK time).

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