PredictiumFree Android app · Français

Italy vs France prediction

Nations League · Thursday, 12 November 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Italy
VS
France
Italy win
12%
Draw
21%
France win
67%
Expected goals
0.8 – 2.2
Expected shots
8 – 25

Match analysis

France dominates this matchup: 67% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 12% for Italy. France frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 50% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 05:54 (UK time).

Exact scores, scorers and detailed markets in the free app

More predictions