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Montenegro vs Latvia prediction

Nations League · Thursday, 12 November 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Montenegro
VS
Latvia
Montenegro win
63%
Draw
22%
Latvia win
15%
Expected goals
2.1 – 0.9
Expected shots
20 – 8

Match analysis

Montenegro comes out on top in most scenarios (64% win rate), but Latvia finds a way in 15% of simulations. Montenegro frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 47% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 05:54 (UK time).

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