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Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica prediction

Europa League · Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

Final score: Omonia Nicosia 1 – 4 Benfica

The outcome rated most likely (a Benfica win, 70%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Omonia Nicosia
VS
Benfica
Omonia Nicosia win
12%
Draw
18%
Benfica win
70%
Expected goals
0.9 – 2.4
Expected shots
6 – 23

Match analysis

Benfica dominates this matchup: 70% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 12% for Omonia Nicosia. Benfica frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 53% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 22 October at 19:12 (UK time).

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