The model gave a Olympiakos Piraeus win only 33%. At 33%, an outcome happens about 33 times in 100: that is what a probability means.
Olympiakos Piraeus
Sparta PrahaGenuinely open contest: Olympiakos Piraeus and Sparta Praha finish within a few points of each other (33% vs 36%), with the draw at 32%. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 49% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 22 October at 19:12 (UK time).
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