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Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad prediction

Europa League · Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

Final score: Lillestrom 0 – 6 Real Sociedad

The outcome rated most likely (a Real Sociedad win, 72%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Lillestrom
VS
Real Sociedad
Lillestrom win
11%
Draw
17%
Real Sociedad win
72%
Expected goals
1.1 – 2.8
Expected shots
9 – 22

Match analysis

Real Sociedad dominates this matchup: 72% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 11% for Lillestrom. Real Sociedad frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 55% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 22 October at 19:12 (UK time).

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