Conference League · Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 17:45 (UK time)
Final score: Kauno Žalgiris 1 – 4 Brann
The outcome rated most likely (a Brann win, 51%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.
Kauno Žalgiris
VS
Brann
Kauno Žalgiris win
23%
Draw
26%
Brann win
51%
Expected goals
1.0 – 1.6
Expected shots
6 – 25
Match analysis
Brann comes out on top in most scenarios (51% win rate), but Kauno Žalgiris finds a way in 23% of simulations.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 22 October at 17:12 (UK time).