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Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht prediction

Europa League · Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

Final score: Jagiellonia 0 – 3 Anderlecht

The outcome rated most likely (a Anderlecht win, 35%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Jagiellonia
VS
Anderlecht
Jagiellonia win
34%
Draw
31%
Anderlecht win
35%
Expected goals
1.1 – 1.1
Expected shots
9 – 20

Match analysis

Genuinely open contest: Jagiellonia and Anderlecht finish within a few points of each other (34% vs 35%), with the draw at 31%. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 48% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 22 October at 19:12 (UK time).

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