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Getafe vs FC Lugano prediction

Conference League · Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 17:45 (UK time)

Final score: Getafe 2 – 5 FC Lugano

The outcome rated most likely (a FC Lugano win, 53%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Getafe
VS
FC Lugano
Getafe win
22%
Draw
25%
FC Lugano win
53%
Expected goals
1.0 – 1.7
Expected shots
13 – 14

Match analysis

FC Lugano comes out on top in most scenarios (52% win rate), but Getafe finds a way in 22% of simulations.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 22 October at 17:12 (UK time).

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