Conference League · Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 17:45 (UK time)
Final score: FK Crvena Zvezda 2 – 2 FC Copenhagen
The model gave a draw only 24%. At 24%, an outcome happens about 24 times in 100: that is what a probability means.
FK Crvena Zvezda
VS
FC Copenhagen
FK Crvena Zvezda win
29%
Draw
24%
FC Copenhagen win
47%
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.8
Expected shots
9 – 19
Match analysis
FC Copenhagen holds a real edge (47% vs 29%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (25%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 22 October at 17:12 (UK time).