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FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia prediction

Conference League · Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 17:45 (UK time)

Final score: FC Nordsjaelland 2 – 2 CSKA Sofia

The model gave a draw only 25%. At 25%, an outcome happens about 25 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

FC Nordsjaelland
VS
CSKA Sofia
FC Nordsjaelland win
52%
Draw
25%
CSKA Sofia win
23%
Expected goals
1.8 – 1.1
Expected shots
16 – 20

Match analysis

FC Nordsjaelland comes out on top in most scenarios (52% win rate), but CSKA Sofia finds a way in 23% of simulations.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 22 October at 17:12 (UK time).

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