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FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden prediction

Conference League · Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

Final score: FC Midtjylland 0 – 1 St. Truiden

The model gave a St. Truiden win only 25%. At 25%, an outcome happens about 25 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

FC Midtjylland
VS
St. Truiden
FC Midtjylland win
51%
Draw
24%
St. Truiden win
25%
Expected goals
1.9 – 1.3
Expected shots
14 – 10

Match analysis

FC Midtjylland comes out on top in most scenarios (51% win rate), but St. Truiden finds a way in 25% of simulations.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 22 October at 19:12 (UK time).

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