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Celtic vs Celta Vigo prediction

Europa League · Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

Final score: Celtic 1 – 2 Celta Vigo

The model gave a Celta Vigo win only 19%. At 19%, an outcome happens about 19 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

Celtic
VS
Celta Vigo
Celtic win
58%
Draw
23%
Celta Vigo win
19%
Expected goals
2.0 – 1.0
Expected shots
15 – 12

Match analysis

Celtic comes out on top in most scenarios (58% win rate), but Celta Vigo finds a way in 19% of simulations. Celtic frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 43% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 22 October at 19:11 (UK time).

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