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Bournemouth vs AC Milan prediction

Europa League · Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

Final score: Bournemouth 3 – 0 AC Milan

The outcome rated most likely (a Bournemouth win, 68%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Bournemouth
VS
AC Milan
Bournemouth win
68%
Draw
19%
AC Milan win
13%
Expected goals
2.3 – 0.9
Expected shots
19 – 9

Match analysis

Bournemouth dominates this matchup: 68% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 13% for AC Milan. Bournemouth frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 51% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 22 October at 19:11 (UK time).

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