La Liga · Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at 20:30 (UK time)
Final score: Barcelona 7 – 2 Racing Santander
The outcome rated most likely (a Barcelona win, 82%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.
Barcelona
VS
Racing Santander
Barcelona win
82%
Draw
12%
Racing Santander win
6%
Expected goals
3.4 – 1.1
Expected shots
25 – 10
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 16 September at 19:36 (UK time).