Nations League · Friday, 13 November 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Andorra
VS
Gibraltar
Andorra win
54%
Draw
33%
Gibraltar win
13%
Expected goals
1.2 – 0.4
Expected shots
12 – 6
Match analysis
Andorra comes out on top in most scenarios (54% win rate), but Gibraltar finds a way in 13% of simulations. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 55% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 10:54 (UK time).