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Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë prediction

Conference League · Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

Final score: Aarhus 1 – 1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë

The model gave a draw only 30%. At 30%, an outcome happens about 30 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

Aarhus
VS
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Aarhus win
39%
Draw
30%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë win
31%
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.1
Expected shots
11 – 19

Match analysis

Genuinely open contest: Aarhus and Egnatia Rrogozhinë finish within a few points of each other (39% vs 31%), with the draw at 30%. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 47% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 22 October at 19:12 (UK time).

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