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1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon prediction

Europa League · Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

Final score: 1899 Hoffenheim 3 – 0 Lyon

The model gave a 1899 Hoffenheim win only 31%. At 31%, an outcome happens about 31 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

1899 Hoffenheim
VS
Lyon
1899 Hoffenheim win
31%
Draw
25%
Lyon win
44%
Expected goals
1.5 – 1.7
Expected shots
13 – 15

Match analysis

Lyon holds a real edge (44% vs 31%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (25%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 22 October at 19:11 (UK time).

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