Coupe de France · Sunday, 15 November 2026 at 13:00 (UK time)
Yerres Crosne
VS
Union Cosnoise
Yerres Crosne win
48%
Draw
29%
Union Cosnoise win
23%
Expected goals
1.4 – 0.9
Expected shots
13 – 12
Match analysis
Yerres Crosne holds a real edge (48% vs 23%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (29%) stays a live option. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 47% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 06:55 (UK time).