Coupe de France · Sunday, 15 November 2026 at 13:00 (UK time)
Saint-Renan
VS
Laval
Saint-Renan win
25%
Draw
29%
Laval win
46%
Expected goals
1.0 – 1.4
Expected shots
14 – 15
Match analysis
Laval holds a real edge (47% vs 25%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (29%) stays a live option. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 46% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 08:56 (UK time).