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Marseille Endoume vs Toulon prediction

Coupe de France · Sunday, 15 November 2026 at 13:00 (UK time)

Marseille Endoume
VS
Toulon
Marseille Endoume win
49%
Draw
30%
Toulon win
21%
Expected goals
1.4 – 0.8
Expected shots
11 – 13

Match analysis

Marseille Endoume holds a real edge (49% vs 21%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (30%) stays a live option. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 48% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 06:54 (UK time).

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