Coupe de France · Sunday, 15 November 2026 at 13:00 (UK time)
Castelbourgeois
VS
Nantes
Castelbourgeois win
32%
Draw
29%
Nantes win
39%
Expected goals
1.2 – 1.4
Expected shots
13 – 12
Match analysis
Genuinely open contest: Castelbourgeois and Nantes finish within a few points of each other (32% vs 39%), with the draw at 29%.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 06:54 (UK time).