Coupe de France · Sunday, 15 November 2026 at 13:00 (UK time)
Kellermann
VS
Metz
Kellermann win
51%
Draw
23%
Metz win
26%
Expected goals
2.1 – 1.4
Expected shots
14 – 13
Match analysis
Kellermann comes out on top in most scenarios (51% win rate), but Metz finds a way in 26% of simulations. Kellermann frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 40% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 08:56 (UK time).