Bundesliga · Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 14:30 (UK time)
Final score: Werder Bremen 3 – 2 FC Augsburg
The model gave a Werder Bremen win only 21%. At 21%, an outcome happens about 21 times in 100: that is what a probability means.
Werder Bremen
VS
FC Augsburg
Werder Bremen win
21%
Draw
30%
FC Augsburg win
49%
Expected goals
1.1 – 1.7
Expected shots
18 – 14
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 19 September at 13:53 (UK time).