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Bologna vs Torino prediction

Serie A · Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 14:00 (UK time)

Final score: Bologna 1 – 1 Torino

The model gave a draw only 30%. At 30%, an outcome happens about 30 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

Bologna
VS
Torino
Bologna win
49%
Draw
30%
Torino win
21%
Expected goals
1.6 – 1.0
Expected shots
16 – 11

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 19 September at 13:23 (UK time).

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