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Tottenham vs Aston Villa prediction

Premier League · Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 12:30 (UK time)

Final score: Tottenham 2 – 3 Aston Villa

The outcome rated most likely (a Aston Villa win, 45%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Tottenham
VS
Aston Villa
Tottenham win
24%
Draw
31%
Aston Villa win
45%
Expected goals
1.1 – 1.6
Expected shots
17 – 13

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 19 September at 11:53 (UK time).

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