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VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid prediction

Champions League · Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

Final score: VfB Stuttgart 1 – 1 Atletico Madrid

The model gave a draw only 26%. At 26%, an outcome happens about 26 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

VfB Stuttgart
VS
Atletico Madrid
VfB Stuttgart win
30%
Draw
26%
Atletico Madrid win
44%
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.6
Expected shots
11 – 21

Match analysis

Atletico Madrid holds a real edge (44% vs 30%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (26%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 20 October at 19:30 (UK time).

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