Coupe de France · Sunday, 15 November 2026 at 13:00 (UK time)
Verson
VS
RC Calais
Verson win
47%
Draw
28%
RC Calais win
25%
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.0
Expected shots
12 – 11
Match analysis
Verson holds a real edge (47% vs 25%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (28%) stays a live option. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 46% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 November at 06:55 (UK time).