Serie A · Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Final score: Venezia 0 – 2 Lazio
The model gave a Lazio win only 36%. At 36%, an outcome happens about 36 times in 100: that is what a probability means.
Venezia
VS
Lazio
Venezia win
36%
Draw
28%
Lazio win
36%
Expected goals
1.7 – 1.7
Expected shots
14 – 17
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 19 September at 18:53 (UK time).