La Liga · Saturday, 7 November 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)
Valencia
VS
Real Madrid
Valencia win
5%
Draw
11%
Real Madrid win
84%
Expected goals
0.8 – 3.2
Expected shots
5 – 25
Match analysis
Real Madrid dominates this matchup: 84% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 5% for Valencia. Real Madrid frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 66% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 31 October at 00:23 (UK time).