Serie A · Saturday, 7 November 2026 at 14:00 (UK time)
Cagliari
VS
Frosinone
Cagliari win
32%
Draw
26%
Frosinone win
42%
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.6
Expected shots
10 – 23
Match analysis
Frosinone holds a real edge (42% vs 32%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (26%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 31 October at 00:22 (UK time).