Serie A · Saturday, 7 November 2026 at 14:00 (UK time)
Torino
VS
Lecce
Torino win
43%
Draw
27%
Lecce win
30%
Expected goals
1.6 – 1.3
Expected shots
16 – 15
Match analysis
Torino holds a real edge (43% vs 30%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (27%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 31 October at 00:22 (UK time).