Bundesliga · Saturday, 7 November 2026 at 14:30 (UK time)
Borussia Dortmund
VS
SV Elversberg
Borussia Dortmund win
81%
Draw
13%
SV Elversberg win
6%
Expected goals
3.0 – 0.7
Expected shots
21 – 8
Match analysis
Borussia Dortmund dominates this matchup: 81% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 6% for SV Elversberg. Borussia Dortmund frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 62% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 31 October at 00:22 (UK time).