Bundesliga · Saturday, 7 November 2026 at 14:30 (UK time)
FSV Mainz 05
VS
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05 win
7%
Draw
12%
Bayern München win
81%
Expected goals
1.0 – 3.2
Expected shots
7 – 25
Match analysis
Bayern München dominates this matchup: 81% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 7% for FSV Mainz 05. Bayern München frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 63% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 31 October at 00:22 (UK time).