Bundesliga · Sunday, 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (UK time)
Union Berlin
VS
1. FC Köln
Union Berlin win
37%
Draw
27%
1. FC Köln win
36%
Expected goals
1.5 – 1.4
Expected shots
14 – 17
Match analysis
Genuinely open contest: Union Berlin and 1. FC Köln finish within a few points of each other (37% vs 36%), with the draw at 27%.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 01:33 (UK time).