La Liga · Sunday, 1 November 2026 at 13:00 (UK time)
Getafe
VS
Sevilla
Getafe win
28%
Draw
31%
Sevilla win
41%
Expected goals
0.9 – 1.2
Expected shots
11 – 17
Match analysis
Sevilla holds a real edge (41% vs 28%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (31%) stays a live option. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 49% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 01:33 (UK time).