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Liverpool vs Arsenal prediction

Premier League · Sunday, 1 November 2026 at 16:30 (UK time)

Liverpool
VS
Arsenal
Liverpool win
20%
Draw
23%
Arsenal win
57%
Expected goals
1.1 – 2.0
Expected shots
9 – 16

Match analysis

Arsenal comes out on top in most scenarios (57% win rate), but Liverpool finds a way in 20% of simulations. Arsenal frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 43% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 01:34 (UK time).

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