La Liga · Sunday, 1 November 2026 at 15:15 (UK time)
Racing Santander
VS
Real Madrid
Racing Santander win
10%
Draw
14%
Real Madrid win
76%
Expected goals
1.1 – 3.1
Expected shots
6 – 25
Match analysis
Real Madrid dominates this matchup: 76% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 10% for Racing Santander. Real Madrid frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 59% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 01:33 (UK time).