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Paris FC vs Monaco prediction

Ligue 1 · Sunday, 1 November 2026 at 16:15 (UK time)

Paris FC
VS
Monaco
Paris FC win
40%
Draw
30%
Monaco win
30%
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.1
Expected shots
9 – 15

Match analysis

Genuinely open contest: Paris FC and Monaco finish within a few points of each other (40% vs 30%), with the draw at 30%. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 47% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 01:33 (UK time).

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