Conference League · Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)
Twente
VS
Pafos
Twente win
77%
Draw
16%
Pafos win
7%
Expected goals
2.5 – 0.7
Expected shots
25 – 9
Match analysis
Twente dominates this matchup: 77% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 7% for Pafos. Twente frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 58% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 October at 00:06 (UK time).